The biggest In-App-Ad battle of 2026? ๐ ๐ฒ๐๐ฎ & ๐๐ผ๐ผ๐ด๐น๐ฒ ๐๐ ๐๐ฝ๐ฝ๐๐ผ๐๐ถ๐ป ๐ผ๐ป ๐ถ๐ข๐ฆ.
The Duopoly have been locked out of iOS for years. They went all in on SKAdNetwork, but probabilistic attribution won out. Now they’re playing catch up.
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ถ๐บ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐ต๐๐ด๐ฒ: ๐น More demand in auctions = higher CPMs. ๐น Better ad quality = less player churn.
Publishers and players both win, but they’re not live yet. ๐๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐ฝ๐ฝ๐๐ผ๐๐ถ๐ป ๐ถ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ธ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐๐ฎ๐ป๐๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ.
AppLovin has captured disproportionate share on iOS. Nearly double their Android footprint. Meta and Google’s e-commerce advertisers can’t spend effectively on iOS yet, so AppLovin has offered them a solution that works today.
Google in particular has been handing AppLovin share. Probabilistic attribution is just now entering open beta. Their ban on multi-call has been an own goal, gifting impressions directly to AppLovin.
Meta’s probabilistic solution has been a game changer, but only for when buying on their Instagram & Facebook. Audience Network is still left waiting.
AppLovin isn’t waiting for permission. They’re building a moat while the Meta and Google debate the blueprint.
Each passing quarter gives AppLovin more data, more relationships, and more proof points. Momentum becomes harder to reverse.